fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. . Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. The Gerrymandering Project - FiveThirtyEight Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. [00:00:19] They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. This is the final episode. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. FiveThirtyEight Politics | Podcast on Spotify A message from Martine. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. . The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. It's a busy week! 9 days ago. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They consider how much. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. The State Of The Polls, 2016. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. gold rush supreme second chance winners. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? | FiveThirtyEight Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - kerryandjessica.com The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. Nate Silver to FiveThirtyEight Critics: 'Fuck You, We Did a Good Job' In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. . 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. What Liz Cheney might do next | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. david senak now. 266, the . geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. MANAGER'S SALARY. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). FiveThirtyEight Politics Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important.